A key trigger for the next leg higher in the dollar

The PBOC moved to weaken the yuan this week amid some worrying concerns surrounding China’s economy, which has seen many houses call for softer growth for the remainder of the year. Among those names are Goldman Sachs, ING, Standard Chartered, and Nomura to name a few.

Today, the central bank sought to fix the yuan at its lowest since September 2020 but perhaps more importantly, they are seemingly comfortable with the pricing of the yuan falling past 6.80 against the dollar. That’s a big level that markets have been respecting based on the communique from China in the past few months – after of course having weakened the yuan from April to May: